A general alert is out for something major in the near or immediate future. Hopefully, it is just another false alarm, instead of another false flag. Either way, danger is at hand.
Given all that is going on in the world, it is downright eerie to discover that the federal government is once again staging mock disasters that draw disturbing parallels with current world events.
In just a day or so during April 24-26th, Operation Gotham Shield will commence.
It is a tabletop, joint agency exercise involving FEMA, Homeland Security and a myriad of law enforcement and military agencies. WMD, chemical and biological units will all be on hand as a response is tested for a “simulated” nuclear detonation over the United States’ foremost urban center, in the iconic and densely populated island of Manhattan and nearby shores of New Jersey.
What happens if New York gets nuked? Scientists simulate 20 MILLION people in massive computer system to see how state would respond to a nuclear attack
- Scientists at Virginia’s George Mason University are running the 3-5-year study
- Their simulation puts up to 20 million ‘agents’ in a simulated New York
- Each one has family members, needs, jobs, and personal reactions to events
- Their reactions will be modeled over 30 virtual days, in 5-15-minute ‘steps’
- Some may try to reach loved ones, while others will help injured strangers
- Researchers are using personal testimonies of disaster survivors to make agents
- By the end it should take a bank of computers two days to run the full simulation
Scientists are conducting a massive computer simulation to work out how New York would respond to a nuclear attack in the heart of Manhattan.
The three-year, $450,000 project will simulate two nuclear detonations and their effects on up to 20 million virtual ‘agents’ each representing civilian, first responder or other official over the course of 30 days.
Nuke on New York – Not nice viewing
But first they need to input data – a lot of data, taken from disaster reports across the US – to figure out how individuals really react to catastrophe.
‘Computational social science is not experimental.’ Professor William Kennedy of Virginia’s George Mason University told The Atlantic. ‘We don’t terrorize people and see how they behave.’
Escape from New York? Virginia scientists are building a complex model that will show how 20 million people would react to nuclear bombs going off in Manhattan (pictured)
As well as ‘big data’ statistics, the researchers are using individual testimonies from disaster survivors to govern their virtual victims’ reactions.
And that doesn’t necessarily mean movie-style panic and screaming in the streets, said Kennedy, who is heading up the project at the Center for Social Complexity along with Andrew Crooks.
‘We’ve found that people seem to be reasonably well behaved and do what they’ve been trained to, or are asked or told to do by local authorities,’ he said.
‘Reports from 9/11 show that people walked down many tens of flights of stairs, relatively quietly, sometimes carrying each other, to escape buildings.’
But there are other cases, he explained, where things haven’t gone so well – such as the response to Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans.
Master of puppets: Prof, William Kennedy of George Mason University is one of those heading the study. Virtual ‘agents’ will react to the horrors and stresses in the simulation
‘There, we have reports that people already didn’t trust the government, and then with the isolation resulting from the flooding, they were actually shooting at people trying to help.’
Once their personalities have been set, the agents – up to 20 million, roughly the same population as New York state – will be dropped into a virtual New York map and left to react to events as they unfold.
The simulated bombs will have a strength of 10 kilotons. For comparison, the bombs dropped on Nagasaki and Hiroshima were around 20 kilotons, and North Korea’s current missiles are in the 2-5 kiloton ranges.